New Long Positions Established

On August 18th my models went long at the close on the following assets
ETFs EWZ, QQQ, OIH, SPY, EWJ, XLF. As of Aug 22 the system is down just over 6% which compares favorable with both the SP500 and the QQQs which are down 12.84% and 13.4% respectively. The massive EEM ETF faired even worse down over 15.8%. The last time this particular model saw such a down-turn was in 2008 where the downturn was even more pronounced. Remember that the idea was to create a model that has robust returns but avoids some of the major downturns. Now the volatility can be controlled by adjusting the amount of money an investor allocates in the model and the amount allocated to cash. Now that everything is more automated I will be updateing my positions more frequently.

Legal Disclaimer: Note that I am not a registered investment advisor so anyone using my trading signals does so at their own risk. This is not an offer to buy or sell securities

Summary Of Results through Aug 12 for intermediate model

The average annual return since inception in July 2005 is 18% with an average sharpe ratio of 1.87; The average winning month is 3% and the average losing month is 1.5%; Winning months outperform losers 2:1. For 2010 we were up through the end of July but are now flat due to an almost 5% drop in August. This also reduced our rolling sharpe ratio due to the sharpe increase in volatility in early august. However over all this model has been fairly robust since inception and held up well in 2008 relative to market indexes. It has performed well in August on relative terms given the extremely high level of volatility and the problems spreading through the euro-zone as well as the political stale-mate in washington. The table below indicates the summary results

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