My New Model

I realize it has been a while since I have posted but I have been focussing my attention on developing a short/medium model.  I started with the oil market and I am using an extreme mean reversion model with stops.   Overall in a highly trending market the longer dated models work very well.  If the model is too short dated it takes the trader out of trends are they are being established.  However on the way up it is never a smooth path so I sought to develop a model with about half the volatility of the ETF but that trades more frequently than my long dated model.   This model has a 70% winning ratio (ie the number of winning trades exceeds the number of losers).  The overall volatility of this model is half that of the underlying ETF.  The model traded three times in the month of may exiting on 05/20/2011.