Monday, April 23, 2012

EEM MODEL SIGNIFICANTLY OUTPERFORMS UNDERLYER

The large scale EEM model is currently neutral. The previous long signal ended on 4/17 close of business. Net net the model has underperformed the long only EEM strategy for 2012. However this model has significantly outperformed the underlier since inception. Since the inception of the model the value of $1 invested in it would be $7.28 on april 20 2012. The value of $1 invested in a long position in the underlyer would be $2.47. As you can see this is significant out performance. There are times of course when the model lags the underlyer. However while it is tempting to assume that because of demand from china that EEM soared throughout this period there were some huge bumps in the road. For example in 2008 when the underlyer was down a whopping 49% due to fall off of global demand for commodities and materials the model soared by following the trend when long and exiting prior to the most major drops.

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